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India Train
Crash
On the 2nd of August, at 01:30, in Gaisal Station, West Bengal, India, two trains collided head on.
Each was carrying approximately 1000 passengers. Early reports indicated at least 300 dead, and
officials feared as many as 500. The first of the figures shows an exploratory examination of
the GCP results for all eggs around the
world, during the four-hour period beginning at 20:00, UTC on 1 August, 1999, corresponding to 01:30
Indian local time on the 2nd of August. The second figure shows results for the eggs that are
geographically closest, in India, Fiji, New Zealand, and the west coast of North America.
(August, 1999, RDN) George deBeaumont did a more detailed examination of the data around the time of the crash, exploring a longer time-period in smaller blocks of time. The first looks at one hour beginning at the time of the crash.
The second looks at one hour beginning an hour after the crash.
The third looks at one hour beginning two hours after the crash.
The fourth looks at one hour beginning three hours after the crash (the last hour of the four hour period specified in the prediction).
The fifth looks at one hour beginning four hours after the crash, extending the original predicted time by an hour.
The sixth looks at one hour beginning five hours after the crash, extending the original predicted time to a sixth hour.
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