Introduction
Formal Specification Registry
Scheduled Regular Events
Scheduled Unique Events
Unpredictable Events
Introduction
The ability to discern effects of Global Consciousness depends on clear scientific
questions that can be made into procedures for examining the data. There are various ways to
do this but most have some form of prediction and confirmation as their base. In this
Hypothesis Registry, we will identify some general expectations and several classes of
specific predictions.
The particular descriptions in most cases refer to a "standard
analysis", which is described algorithmically in the Methodology
section. In all cases, the combination of the information provided in
the hypothesis with the external description of an analysis recipe will completely define the
procedures to be followed.
During the early phases of the project, we will be making a variety
of types of hypothesis, based on our developing ideas about what
might make a difference. We have only a little experience, and we will welcome comment
and suggestions. You are welcome also to make your own hypotheses, which will be included
in the registry if they meet our criteria for specificity and relevance, discussed in the methodology section as well as in the "make
a difference" note above.
We will
hypothesize effects linked
with known events, such as New Years celebrations and other widely celebrated and
historically valued holidays, and certain globally interesting scheduled events such as
World Cup Soccer and the Olympics.
Also known ahead of time, but
with no regular schedule or repetition, are widely publicized ceremonies such as the
Princess Diana and Mother Teresa funerals. In this category we also may place some unusual
"cosmic" events such as major conjunctions, comets, and solar eclipses.
Unpredictable events like major
earthquakes, the
fall of the Berlin wall, the assassination of Prime Minister Rabin, or the detonation of
atomic weapons in India and Pakistan gather worldwide attention. These will constitute an
important class of hypotheses for an effect on the EGG network of a large-scale
concatenation of interest and attention in a unified mode.
On the most global level, we
predict that there will be some order in the distributed matrix of data. But the design of
equipment and protocols predicates that the data will be random, that is, there should be
no temporal or correlational structure beyond that expected by chance. Therefore, the
appearance of such structure, even in the absence of perceived events with importance to
us, may be an indication of the unified global consciousness we hypothesize. We expect
certain multi-dimensional analyses to help identify global structure and distinguish it
from effects of mundane physical sources.
As discussed more fully in the
GCP methodology description, the
event-related predictions specify hypothesized effects on the network of REG devices to be
co-temporaneous with the event. The times in our data
displays will be presented in coordinated Universal Time (UTC) also known as Greenwich
Mean Time (GMT). For example, to discover whether there is structure in the data related
to a prominent event reported in Switzerland, one hour (two in summer time) must be added
to the UTC time to identify the event: 01:20 UTC = 03:20 in Switzerland in the Summer.
Many of
the hypotheses in this
registry are evaluated in a hand calculation, using the 15-minute Z-scores provided in the
egg summary tables.
All the Z-scores generated during the period specified in the
hypothesis are squared and
summed, to produce a Chi-square distributed quantity with degrees of freedom equal to the
number of Z-scores. The probability of this Chi-square, which can be found using a Chi-square
test calculator, represents an estimate of the likelihood that the composite deviation
of the REG devices during this time was a chance fluctuation.
The descriptions and analyses
here are done carefully, but they should be regarded as preliminary tests of the
experimental hypothesis. The probability thresholds of 0.10 and 0.05 represent an
estimated chance occurrence of so much apparent structure less than 10% or 5% of the time,
respectively.
Introduction
Scheduled Regular Events
Scheduled Unique Events
Unpredictable Events
Formal Specification Registry |