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The first of five avatars expected to lead humanity in a
transition to the humane was birthed on March 24 2009 in
England. This graph shows the way the GCP data looked on
that day.
It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny
statistical
effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from
noise. This means that every "success" might be largely
driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real
signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect
can
be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of
similar analyses.
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